The return of Dak Prescott is around the corner. The Dallas Cowboys quarterback has a lot of catching up to do as he watched two of his biggest rivals duke it out on the NFC Championship stage.

Succeeding and failing won’t fall solely on the shoulders of Prescott in Dallas, but he has to understand he’s one of the keys to the team’s overall performance. As he returns from a season-ending injury, Prescott has to be primed for a big year. CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan believes he can make it happen with a big prediction.

In betting terms, when Prescott’s total passing yards O/U is set at 4,000, Sullivan predicts he would confidently take the over.

“When Prescott is healthy, he’s a 4,000-yard passer,” Sullivan writes. “…this is simply a play on Prescott saying healthy for the 2025 season.”

Looking at the history books, Prescott has exceeded the 4,000-yard mark twice over the past five seasons. In the three years he failed to reach that milestone, he played just five games (2020), 12 games (2022), and eight games (2024).

Throughout his nine-year career, Prescott threw for over 4,000 yards three times.

“With Dallas’ running game still a major question and the addition of George Pickens to play opposite CeeDee Lamb, the Cowboys are expected to throw early and often in 2025,” Sullivan added.

Read More: NFL Writer Places Cowboys’ Backfield Decisions Under Fire

Betting against the idea of a player staying healthy when they’ve missed a lot of time recently is surely risky. Prescott had enough time off to make sure he’s a full-go when 2025 training camp rolls around.

Recently, the quarterback addressed the state of his health and noted that there was just one small obstacle to overcome before he tossed his helmet and pads back on later this month.

“Dak Prescott said he is fully healthy and ready to go for training camp from his hamstring surgery, pending one more checkup with the team doctors,” ESPN’s Todd Archer reported on Tuesday. “No surprise considering he took part in all of the drills in the offseason program.”

Read More: Dak Prescott Gives Critical Injury Update Before Cowboys’ Camp

Last season, Prescott’s eight-game run was hardly inspiring. He completed 65 percent of his passes for 1,978 yards. Prescott threw for just 11 touchdowns and turned the ball over nine times, with eight of those turnovers coming from interceptions. During that stretch, the Cowboys went 3-5.

The good news is that Prescott’s last healthy season went really well. In 17 games, he completed roughly 70 percent of his passes for over 4,5000 yards. The Cowboys quarterback led the NFL in passing touchdowns with 36 and threw for only nine interceptions.

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